By-Election day in Winnipeg and Montreal

Who will win?

Analysis: Elmwood - Transcona

This seat is a MUST WIN for the NDP.

An NDP loss in a tradionally strong blue-collar NDP riding means several things:

• Jagmeet Singh leaving the CASA has no effect on his poll numbers or support on the ground.

• Ditto for his commitment to kill the Carbon Tax

• The calls for Singh to leave will get louder from within the party

An NDP …